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Volume based technical analysis of broad market indexes. The trading system and market-timing system aid for the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100..., as well as QQQQ, SPDRs, Diamonds and other index derivatives. Our Indicators tell you the price Trend you are trading in
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Real-Time Market Indicators (The only source of intraday volume for U.S. indices)
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Daily Market Outlook (3/19/2010):
The market confirmed our short-term outlook from yesterday's report, where we had surmised that 'The bulls may once again try to push the market higher, but we again see a great deal of risk for sudden intraday reversals (especially if they occur from higher levels)'. In contrast to Thursday's divergent trading patterns, the major indexes all sold off in unison today after initially pushing slightly higher intraday
(Click here to read complete current Market Outlook)
Market Performance:
We saw a rare bearish day, with the major indexes selling off in unison after initially making slightly higher yearly highs early in the session. On the Dow, today's downside push snapped an eight-session winning streak; on the Nasdaq 100, we saw only the second down-close in March.
Volume output was heavy, consistent with many (quadruple witching) options expiration sessions.
Volume Analysis:
9:30 - 16:00: The bulls tried to push the Nasdaq 100 even higher today, but they failed after only two minutes into the session. The index topped out at 9:32 and then turned bearish, selling off strongly until 11:15. A five-day chart of the index shows that today's open was associated with a very large bullish volume surge (bullish volume appears in green on the SBV oscillator pane). The appearance of this bullish volume spike immediately sapped upside momentum and exhausted the moon shot performance seen over the past days / weeks. A strong buildup of bullish volume that occurs as the market pushes higher is often a sign that the pace of bullish advances can no longer be sustained and that a downside reversal may be at hand. Given the exhaustion of bullish momentum, the bears finally got their chance to dictate market direction. As more momentum to the downside developed during the morning, we noted an increasing buildup of bearish volume (shown in red on the SBV oscillator pane). The bulk of bearish volume was accumulated shortly before the index made a key swing low - note the session's largest bearish volume spike that peaked at 11:20, concurrent with the index bottoming out for some time. While the market stopped declining, the bulls were not able to lift it much however; for several hours, the index languished near its earlier swing low. By 15:35, the index had sunk to a marginal new low. Given that this final downside push had generated more bearish volume, the down-move was finally exhausted and the bulls had a few minutes to push things higher into a (still bearish) close. In summary, a 5-day chart shows that today's session brought a large output of bullish volume early on, then a comparatively smaller accumulation of bearish volume, and finally another surge of bullish volume into the close, yielding a surplus of bullish volume for the day.
Short Term (lasts a few hours to a few days):
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clear and straightforward mid- and short-term prediction...
| Index | Change | |
| AMEX Comp. | -1.49% | |
| NASDAQ Comp. | -0.71% | |
| NYSE Comp. | -0.75% | |
| DJI | -0.37% | |
| S&P 100 | -0.48% | |
| S&P 500 | -0.52% | |
| Russell 3000 | -0.62% |
| Index | Change | |
| Gold/Silver | -1.48% | |
| Oil | -2.73% | |
| Semiconductor | -1.67% |
| Index | Adv/Decl | |
| AMEX | 172/299 | |
| NASDAQ | 1,028/1,551 | |
| NYSE | 869/2,272 | |
| DJI | 8/22 | |
| S&P 100 | 24/75 | |
| S&P 500 | 127/363 | |
| Russell 3000 | 875/1,995 |
| Index | Volume (K) | |
| AMEX | 96,930 | |
| NASDAQ | 2,745,888 | |
| NYSE | 5,299,366 | |
| DJI | 1,014,398 | |
| S&P 100 | 2,513,729 | |
| S&P 500 | 4,417,502 | |
| Russell 3000 | 6,663,134 |
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Adv. / Decl. Momentum Volume
