- SBV Technical Analysis

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SBV Technical Analysis - Trading Volume with Confidence

Simple SBV Trading System Blog


 

S&P 500


On 2009-11-13, By MarketVolume.com Team

+3% on the S&P 500 without a stop loss
and +6% with a 10-point stop-loss

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S%P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of October 9, 2009

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)

S&P 500 November 2009

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5. Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
Profit with
10-point
Stop-Loss
9/04/2009rule #2Buy1005+59+59
9/21/2009rule #4Sell Short1064-4-4
9/22/2009rule #5Cash1068  
9/28/2009rule #2Buy1062-25-10
10/01/2009rule #5Cash1037  
10/05/2009rule #2Buy1035+2+2
10/05/2009rule #1Sell Short1037-3-3
10/05/2009rule #2Buy1040+22+22
10/09/2009rule #4Sell Short1066 -3 -3
10/09/2009rule #3Buy1069 +1 +1
10/13/2009rule #4Sell Short1070 -16 -10
10/14/2009rule #3Buy1086 +2 +2
10/16/2009rule #4Sell Short1088 -9 -9
10/21/2009rule #5Cash1097  
10/22/2009rule #2Buy1090 -10 -10
10/23/2009rule #5Cash1080  
10/27/2009rule #2Buy1067 -4 -4
10/27/2009rule #1Sell Short1063 +1 +1
10/29/2009rule #2Buy1062 -6 -6
10/30/2009rule #1Sell Short1056 +13 +13
11/02/2009rule #2Buy1043 -5 -5
11/03/2009rule #1Sell Short1038 -20 -10
11/04/2009rule #2Buy1058 +33 +33
11/12/2009rule #4Sell Short1091  
Total:+28
(+2.8%)
+59
(+5.9%)

Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and, in some cases, even double the summary profit.

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

Nasdaq 100 Trading System


On 2009-11-07, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 10-day SBV(20) Nasdaq 100 chart.

+4.7% in less than 2 weeks
on the Nasdaq 100

This week's SBV example is a continuation of the Nasdaq 100 chart example of October 30, 2009. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. Nasdaq 100 index. 10-day view. 1 bar = 10 minutes. SBV(20)

Nasdaq 100 Chart Analysis

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5. Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
10/25/2009rule #1Sell Short1733+31
10/29/2009rule #2Buy1702+9
10/29/2009rule #4Sell Short17110
10/29/2009rule #5Cash1711 
10/30/2009rule #2Buy1667+12
11/02/2009rule #2Cash1679 
11/02/2009rule #4Buy1672-9
11/03/2009rule #5Cash1663 
11/03/2009rule #2Buy1666+27
11/04/2009rule #4Sell Short1693-2
11/04/2009rule #5Buy1695+19
11/05/2009rule #2Sell Short1714-1
11/05/2009rule #1Buy1715+5
11/05/2009rule #2Sell Short17200
11/05/2009rule #4Cash1720 
11/06/2009rule #2Sell Short1720-5
11/06/2009rule #1Buy17250
11/06/2009rule #2Sell Short1725-3
11/06/2009rule #2Buy1728-2
11/06/2009rule #2Sell Short1726-1
11/06/2009rule #2Buy1727+1
11/06/2009rule #2Sell Short1728 
Total:+81 points
(+4.7%)

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

Nasdaq 100 Trading


On 2009-10-30, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 10-day SBV(20) Nasdaq 100 chart.

+31 points on the Nasdaq 100

This week's SBV example is a continuation of the Nasdaq 100 chart example of October 23, 2009. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. Nasdaq 100 index. 10-day view. 1 bar = 10 minutes. SBV(20)

Nasdaq 100 Chart

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5. Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
10/20/2009rule #2Buy1756+12
10/21/2009rule #4Sell Short1768-4
10/21/2009rule #5Cash1772 
10/22/2009rule #2Buy1745+10
10/23/2009rule #4Sell Short1755-7
10/23/2009rule #5Cash1762 
10/23/2009rule #2Buy1755-1
10/23/2009rule #1Sell Short1754-20
10/24/2009rule #2Buy1774-2
10/24/2009rule #4Sell Short1772+21
10/24/2009rule #2Buy1751-11
10/25/2009rule #1Sell Short17400
10/25/2009rule #2Buy1740-7
10/25/2009rule #1Sell Short1733+31
10/29/2009rule #2Buy1702+9
10/29/2009rule #4Sell Short17110
10/29/2009rule #5Cash1711 
10/30/2009rule #2Buy1667 
Total:+31 points

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

Nasdaq 100


On 2009-10-24, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 10-day SBV(20) Nasdaq 100 chart.

+40 points on the Nasdaq 100

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. Nasdaq 100 index. 10-day view. 1 bar = 10 minutes. SBV(20)

Nasdaq 100

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5. Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
10/15/2009rule #4Sell Short1752+5
10/15/2009rule #2Buy1747+2
10/15/2009rule #4Sell Short1749+15
10/16/2009rule #2Buy1734+8
10/19/2009rule #4Sell Short1742-4
10/19/2009rule #2Buy1746+8
10/19/2009rule #4Sell Short1754-1
10/20/2009rule #5Cash1755 
10/20/2009rule #4Sell Short1753-3
10/20/2009rule #2Buy1756+12
10/21/2009rule #4Sell Short1768-4
10/21/2009rule #5Cash1772 
10/22/2009rule #2Buy1745+10
10/23/2009rule #4Sell Short1755-7
10/23/2009rule #5Cash1762 
10/23/2009rule #2Buy1755-1
10/23/2009rule #1Sell Short1754 
Total:+40 points

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

Russell 2000


On 2009-10-16, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 5-day SBV(20) Russell 2000 chart.

+10 points on the Russell 2000

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. Russell index. 5-day view. 1 bar = 5 minutes. SBV(20)

Russell 2000

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5. Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
10/13/2009rule #2Buy608.90+2.70
10/13/2009rule #4Sell Short611.60-0.10
10/13/2009rule #3Buy611.700
10/13/2009rule #4Sell Short611.70+0.50
10/13/2009rule #2Buy611.20+5.20
10/14/2009rule #4Sell Short616.40-0.80
10/14/2009rule #5Cash617.20 
10/14/2009rule #4Sell Short620.40-1.30
10/14/2009rule #5Cash621.70 
10/15/2009rule #4Sell Short620.10+0.20
10/15/2009rule #2Buy619.90+0.50
10/15/2009rule #4Sell Short620.40+0.20
10/15/2009rule #3Buy620.40+0.60
10/15/2009rule #4Sell Short620.80-1.20
10/15/2009rule #2Buy622.00-3.20
10/16/2009rule #4Sell Short618.80+6.10
10/16/2009rule #2Buy612.70+0.60
10/16/2009rule #4Sell Short613.30-2.10
10/16/2009rule #3Buy615.40+1.60
10/16/2009rule #4Sell Short617.00+0.70
Total:+10.20

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

S&P 500 Chart Analysis


On 2009-10-09, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 19, 2009

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)

S&P 500 October 2009

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5. Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
8/26/2009rule #4Sell Short10300
8/27/2009rule #5Cash1030
9/04/2009rule #2Buy1005+59
9/21/2009rule #4Sell Short1064-4
9/22/2009rule #5Cash1068 
9/28/2009rule #2Buy1062-25
10/1/2009rule #5Cash1037 
10/5/2009rule #2Buy1035+2
10/5/2009rule #1Sell Short1037-3
10/5/2009rule #2Buy1040+22
10/9/2009rule #4Sell Short1066 
Total:+51
(+5%)

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

41 points on the S&P 500


On 2009-10-02, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 15-day SBV(16) S&P 500 chart.

+3.8% (41 points) on the S&P 500

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 15-day view. 1 bar = 15 minutes. SBV(16)

S&P 500 October 2009

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1.  Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2.  Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4.  Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5.  Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
9/21/2009rule #2Buy1065+7
9/22/2009rule #4Sell Short10720
9/23/2009rule #5Cash1072
9/23/2009rule #4Sell Short1060+9
9/24/2009rule #2Buy1051-8
9/25/2009rule #1Sell Short1043-6
9/25/2009rule #2Buy1049+13
9/28/2009rule #4Sell Short1062 -5
9/29/2009rule #5Cash1067 
9/30/2009rule #2Buy1054+2
9/30/2009rule #4Sell Short1056+27
10/2/2009rule #2Buy1029-1
10/2/2009rule #4Sell Short1028+3
Total:+41
(+3.8%)

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

Short-Term Trading System


On 2009-09-25, By MarketVolume.com Team

More than 20 points
on the S&P 500 in 3 days

1 point on the S&P 500 = $50 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 futures contract

10 points on the S&P 500 = $5,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contracts


S&P 500 simple trading system charts

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4.  Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5.  Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
9/22/2009rule #4Sell Short1071.00-0.50
9/22/2009rule #5Cash1071.50 
9/23/2009rule #2Buy1070.00+2.75
9/23/2009rule #4Sell Short1072.75-2.75
9/23/2009rule #3Buy1075.50-5.50
9/23/2009rule #4Sell Short1070.00+19.00
9/24/2009rule #2Buy1051.00-0.75
9/24/2009rule #1Sell Short1050.25+1.75
9/24/2009rule #2Buy1048.50+2.25
9/25/2009rule #4Sell Short1050.75+5.75
9/25/2009rule #2Buy1045.00+1.25
9/25/2009rule #4Sell Short1046.25+1.50
Total:+24.75
(+2.3%)

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

S&P 500 Simple Trading


On 2009-09-19, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 4, 2009 where the last signal was "Buy". Since then

the S&P 500
have gained 107 points (+12%)

This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)

S&P 500 simple trading system charts

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4.  Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5.  Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
7/10/2009rule #2Buy879+93
7/28/2009rule #4Sell Short972-7
7/28/2009rule #5Cash979 
8/04/2009rule #4Sell Short1006+5
8/04/2009rule #3Buy1001-2
8/05/2009rule #4Sell Short999-14
8/07/2009rule #2Buy1013-10
8/10/2009rule #5Cash1003
8/12/2009rule #2Buy1005-21
8/17/2009rule #5Cash984
8/26/2009rule #4Sell10300
8/27/2009rule #5Cash1030
9/04/2009rule #2Buy 1005+63
Total:+107
(+12.2%)

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.

S&P 500 Charts


On 2009-09-11, By MarketVolume.com Team

This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 4, 2008 where the last signal was "Buy". Since then

the S&P 500 and our signal
have gained 37 points (+3.7%)

This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and
index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)

S&P 500 charts

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4.  Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5.  Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

    Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.

Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.

Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
TimeMotivationSignalIndexProfit
(points)
7/10/2009rule #2Buy879+93
7/28/2009rule #4Sell Short972-7
7/28/2009rule #5Cash979 
8/04/2009rule #4Sell Short1006+5
8/04/2009rule #3Buy1001-2
8/05/2009rule #4Sell Short999-14
8/07/2009rule #2Buy1013-10
8/10/2009rule #5Cash1003
8/12/2009rule #2Buy1005-21
8/17/2009rule #5Cash984
8/26/2009rule #4Sell10300
8/27/2009rule #5Cash1030
9/04/2009rule #2Buy1005+37
Total:+81
(+9.2%)

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).

Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.


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11/20/2009 - SV1