There are a number of indicators (Breadth Indicators) in technical analysis
that are based on advance-decline data. The
Advance/Decline (A/D) Ratio
is one of the most popular and analyzed Breadth indicators. The Advance/Decline
PO (Percentage Oscillator) is an advanced version of the A/D Ratio. The A/D PO
(the same as the A/D Ratio) permits you to measure and analyze advancing stocks
in relation to declining stocks.
The formula for calculating the A/D issues ratio is:
The negative aspect of this formula is that the A/D Ratio has a logarithmic
scaling from zero (when advances = 0) to infinity (when declines = 0) with the
center line at 1 (when advances = declines). This should not be a problem when a
trader analyzes advancing and declining stocks of the NYSE. However, in the case
of a small basket of stocks, such as DJI (Dow Jones Industrials), we often
encounter a situation where the A/D Ratio reaches zero or infinity (either the
declines or advances are equal to zero).
To avoid a situation in which the A/D Ratio tends towards infinity, our team has
developed and implemented a new technical indicator, the
Advance/Decline Percentage Oscillator
(A/D PO), in September, 2008. We are the first to introduce this indicator to
the world and at present are the only ones to provide this indicator. As a
result, we consider ourselves to be this indicator's developers.
The A/D PO has the same meaning as the A/D Ratio and analyzes the ratio of
advances to declines. The difference between the A/D PO chart and the A/D Ratio
chart (with similar chart settings) is barely noticeable. Yet, it allows you to
analyze the A/D Ratio results in a percentage scale of -100% to +100%.
Below are formulas used in A/D Percentage Oscillators.
when advances are dominant, PO is positive and when declines are dominant PO
is negative
Below are the chart of the A/D Issues Ratio and the A/D PO.
Chart 1:
DJI index - A/D Issues Ratio and A/D issues PO
As you see, the Advance/Decline Percentage Oscillator looks exactly the same
as the Advance/Decline Ratio with only a difference in scaling. The same
technical analysis that is applied to the A/D Ratio can be applied to the A/D
PO: as a confirmation indicator and to predict trend reversals.
If the A/D PO moves in tandem with the price MA (Moving
Average), the technical analysis will confirm the trend.
If the A/D PO movement and the price trend diverge, you can anticipate a
possible change in the market trend. The "Buy" signal may be generated when the
A/D PO starts to advance after a decline and a "Sell" signal may be triggered
when the A/D Po starts to decline after advancing. The same principles of the
SBV
simple trading system can be applied
to the Advance Decline Percentage Oscillator.
As with other breadth indicators, the A/D PO can be applied only to a basket of
stocks. It can be used to analyze indexes (Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, DJI,
NYSE and other). The index analysis can be used to trade index derivatives, such
as
QQQQ, DIA and SPY, options on indexes, index
e-mini futures, and options on index derivatives. In addition, it can be used to
trade stocks from the index basket that moves with their index.
V. K.
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Technical studies classified by the types of technical analysis
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